Wednesday, June 13, 2012

A short watchlist

Following are charts of a few stocks that have been in confirmed downtrend but I feel still have room to go down further. The important support and resistance levels are marked on the charts itself. It might not be the smartest thing to short these stocks first thing tomorrow, but one should instead wait for a low volume bounce or break of important support levels. All said and done, they all look pretty bearish to me.





Take care and good luck!

Monday, June 11, 2012

Resistance ahead.....

It was a nice week for the bulls, with Friday also providing some nice action into the close. However, this is not the time to get greedy or go all in if you are bullish and it would be in fact not be a bad idea to start booking profits, if you haven't done so already (Please read note at the end of the post). Here's why.


Coming straight up next week is 1340 - an important resistance level about which I have written earlier too. A move straight to 1340 from here would mean the market would be in the overbought territory - not a good position to be in when you are about to tackle an important resistance. In my view, the best case scenario for the bulls here would be a consolidation period, giving them the much needed time to recharge their batteries to tackle 1340, which would probably itself be reinforced by MA(50) by that time. All said and done, don't let the price action last week fool you, the bulls face some tough time ahead.

Take care and good luck!

P.S.: This post was drafted before the news on Spain but I still decided to go ahead and post it as after this news, the sentiment and outlook might have turned more bullish than what was suggested in the post but the technical resistance levels mentioned still very much hold true.

Sunday, June 3, 2012

Not oversold

With the market falling hard in the last two trading sessions, it's time to turn to our trusty ol' McClellan Oscillator to check if the market has reached oversold levels just yet. While there is no single oscillator out there that can correctly time the markets, the regular readers of the blog know that we have had good results with McClellan Oscillator in the past. Below are the charts for the NYSE and NASDAQ McClellan Oscillator.


According the the above charts, the markets haven't reached oversold levels just yet but might get there with another day of heavy selling. In my opinion, the time is not yet ripe to go hunting for long positions, specially with the markets finishing below MA(200) on Friday. It might be best to just sit back, relax and let the markets decide its course instead of trying to be a hero.

Take care and good luck!